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受貿易戰影響,美國7月消費者信心下滑

By Mr. Crowd 16 Jul 20189:21




圖片名為 Vote for Tariff Reform Lithographs, 由英國公司 McCorquodale and Co Ltd 於1905-1910間印製

背景: 自1846年至上世紀初,英國奉行自由貿易並在全球開展貿易。但隨著美國逐步取代英國成為世界第一經濟強國, 英國在上世紀初經濟出現嚴重衰退,其後英國大幅提高關稅企圖重振經濟。 圖片呼籲英國民眾投票支持提高關稅議案。



美國密歇根大學13日公佈的消費者信心調查顯示,7月初消費者信心指數從6月份的98.2下滑至97.1,但仍低於前12個月(97.7)的平均水平。

負責這項調查的經濟學家理查德·柯廷 (Richard Curtin) 表示,美國消費者對特朗普政府的關稅舉措感到憂慮,擔心對進口產品加征關稅將造成美國經濟增速下降和通脹水平上升。該調查顯示,擔心關稅政策對美國經濟造成負面影響的消費者比例從5月的15%升至7月的38%。其中,收入水平處於美國前三分之一的消費者尤其感到憂慮,而這部分群體貢獻了美國一半的消費支出。


圖片來源: 密歇根大學

45歲以下消費者預計收入將大幅增加

然而,由於對就業和收入前景樂觀,45歲以下的消費者預期他們的收入將增加,是2000年7月以來最大的預期增幅。就業和收入的優勢已經克服了通脹和利率的上升。 這一群體中的消費者仍然充滿信心,他們中的大多數人認為他們的經濟狀況將在未來12個月內變得更好。





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